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Bradford have won a staggering 15 of 20 home games this season and sit 2nd in non-penalty xG difference. Stevenage have lost 50% of their away games this season but have particularly struggled in this spot with 7 losses from 9 away at top half sides.


Both sides are chasing playoffs here. Grimsby have been the second-best side on non-penalty xG difference at home this season. They've won 8 of 12 home games against bottom-half sides, which is the kind of numbers Crewe have put up this season. They should be 15th in the league according to expected points and are the league's second biggest overperformers.


Walsall continue their chase for playoffs against a Cheltenham side that should now be safe. Are Cheltenham on the beach already? They've been poor over the past two games putting up 0.21 and 0.41 expected goals. They've also lost 7 of 11 away against top half sides. Walsall also have a significant advantage in set pieces with one of the best attacks vs one of the worst defences.


A huge game at the top of the Scottish Premiership. Hearts have won 12 of 16 home games and although they drew the previous meeting with Motherwell, they comfortably were the better side on expected goals 2.18-1.52. Motherwell have lost 3 of 4 away at the top 3, conceding 3 goals in 3 of those games. They were also just outplayed at home by Falkirk in their 3-2 loss.
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In-play alerts & best bets from team news


I’m targeting teams in must-win situations with this goals accumulator.
Both sides are chasing European football, sitting just three points behind fifth-placed Liverpool.


I’m targeting teams in must-win situations with this goals accumulator.
Boro are chasing automatic promotion to the Premier League and Pompey are fighting for survival.


I’m targeting teams in must-win situations with this goals accumulator.
Both sides are chasing playoffs here.


I’m targeting teams in must-win situations with this goals accumulator.
Both sides are chasing playoffs here.


I’m targeting teams in must-win situations with this goals accumulator.
Doncaster are fighting to stay in the division, whilst Reading are chasing playoffs.


I’m targeting teams in must-win situations with this goals accumulator.
Barnet are chasing the playoffs and Barrow are fighting for survival.
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