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Saturday Accumulator *Boosted By Dabble*
Watford have been a top-six side on expected goals this season, but fading Swansea here makes a lot of sense. They’ve lost all seven away games against top-half opposition. They rank 21st for net xG from open play, and have the second-worst attack in the league from open play. Watford, meanwhile, boast a top-five defence for xG conceded.
Exeter have a very strong home advantage. Seven of their 11 wins this season have come at home, and they’ve faced just one side from the bottom seven there so far. Rotherham have lost nine of 13 away games, and this is just shy of a 500-mile round trip for them..
Luton have four wins and two draws at home against bottom-10 sides this season. Blackpool have lost nine of 13 away games, with eight of their games coming against bottom-half teams. The Seasiders also rank 22nd for non-penalty xG difference away from home.
Shrewsbury don’t have a real home advantage this season based on expected goals. They’ve lost four of seven home games against top-10 sides. They now face a Barnet team that ranks third for non-penalty xG difference away from home, and has won three of five away matches against bottom-eight opposition.
| Bookie | £10 returns | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| £177 |
Best Bet - Exeter vs Rotherham
Exeter have a very strong home advantage. Seven of their 11 wins this season have come at home, and they’ve faced just one side from the bottom seven there so far. Rotherham have lost nine of 13 away games, and this is just shy of a 500-mile round trip for them..
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 10/11 |
Best Bet - Watford vs Swansea
Watford have been a top-six side on expected goals this season, but fading Swansea here makes a lot of sense. They’ve lost all seven away games against top-half opposition. They rank 21st for net xG from open play, and have the second-worst attack in the league from open play. Watford, meanwhile, boast a top-five defence for xG conceded.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/5 |
Best Bet - Wolves vs Bournemouth
This is 1/5 with Paddy Power and Sky Bet and 4/7 with bet365.
Mosquera is a huge set piece threat and has shot counts of 5, 2, 0, 1, 2 in his last 5. He averages 0.60 shots per game from set pieces.
Bournemouth allow 3.83 shots from dead ball situations and have conceded the join-most goals too.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 20/21 |
Best Bet - Wolves vs Bournemouth
Mosquera is a huge set piece threat and has shot counts of 5, 2, 0, 1, 2 in his last 5. He averages 0.60 shots per game from set pieces.
Bournemouth allow 3.83 shots from dead ball situations and have conceded the join-most goals too.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 14/1 |
Best Bet - Chelsea vs West Ham
Badiashile has an average of 0.51 shots per 90 over his last 50 games.
West Ham have conceded an average of 0.57 goals and 4.48 shots from set pieces and corners this season.
Badiashile scored last week against Pafos and has 0 and 2 shots in his two games against West Ham.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 1/1 |
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