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Free Football Betting Tips
Best Bet - Bournemouth vs Man United
Bournemouth have been the 4th best home side on non-penalty xG difference and have just two losses, which came against Arsenal and Everton.
Man United have won 5 of 15 away all season and although they've won 2 of 4 under Carrick, the win at Arsenal came from scoring 3 goals from 0.71 xG.
This will be a stiff test for United against a very good manager away from home and the value looks to be on the Cherries to win or draw.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
 | 3/4 |
Best Bet - Bournemouth vs Man United
Alex Scott wins fouls at 2.04 per 90.
Casemiro commits fouls at 1.69 per 90 but he's also committed 2 fouls in both meetings with Bournemouth over the past two seasons and was booked in one.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1 |
Saturday Accumulator
Burnley have lost 10 of 15 away games and have conceded 2+ in 12. They rank dead last in non-penalty xG away from home by a significant margin losing by -1.35 expected goals per game - Sunderland are 19th at 0.79. Fulham have won 6 of 8 home games against sides in the bottom half.
Leicester have been one of the worst sides in the Championship away from home all season, ranking 23rd in non-penalty xG difference at -0.80 per game. Watford have been a solid home team ranking 13th. They've comfortably beaten all 4 sides they've faced in the bottom six on net xG racking 1.97, 2.93, 2.82 and 2.06 xG, while allowing 0.54, 0.35, 0.86, 0.50. Leicester also rank 23rd in non-penalty xG difference over the past 8 games.
Oldham have been a solid home side all season and are now starting to see some results go their way at home winning each of their last 3 without conceding. They've also won 4 of 5 home games against the bottom six, keeping 4 clean sheets and scoring 2+ in 4 of 5. Harrogate have been the worst side in the league on non-penalty xG difference away from home all season and also lost the home meeting against Oldham 1-0.
Motherwell have won 9 of 11 home games against sides below them, keeping 9 clean sheets and scored 2+ goals in 10. They rank 4th in non-penalty xG difference at home and have already beaten Hibs 2-0 once at home this season. Hibs have been good in general away from home but have struggled against the top 4 sides, losing 2 of 5. In their 0-0 draw at Celtic they lost the xG battle 2.80-0.70 and in their most recent win 1.94-0.80.
| Bookie | £10 returns | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| £105 |
Best Bet - Watford vs Leicester
Leicester have been one of the worst sides in the Championship away from home all season, ranking 23rd in non-penalty xG difference at -0.80 per game. Watford have been a solid home team ranking 13th. They've comfortably beaten all 4 sides they've faced in the bottom six on net xG racking 1.97, 2.93, 2.82 and 2.06 xG, while allowing 0.54, 0.35, 0.86, 0.50. Leicester also rank 23rd in non-penalty xG difference over the past 8 games.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/20 |
Best Bet - Motherwell vs Hibernian
Motherwell have won 9 of 11 home games against sides below them, keeping 9 clean sheets and scored 2+ goals in 10. They rank 4th in non-penalty xG difference at home and have already beaten Hibs 2-0 once at home this season. Hibs have been good in general away from home but have struggled against the top 4 sides, losing 2 of 5. In their 0-0 draw at Celtic they lost the xG battle 2.80-0.70 and in their most recent win 1.94-0.80.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 |
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