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Marseille have lost just two of their last 12 home games in all competitions, including wins over PSG, Newcastle, and Monaco. The hosts are a different proposition at the Vélodrome, where the atmosphere consistently gives them a strong home advantage.
Liverpool have won just one of six away Premier League games against top-half opposition this season, continuing a wider trend after managing only one away win against top-eight sides last season. Defensive issues remain a concern, having conceded two or more goals in seven of their 11 away league matches.
While Liverpool’s European form has been mixed — losing at home to Galatasaray and PSV but winning away at Inter and Frankfurt — their inconsistency and defensive fragility make them hard to justify as odds-on favourites in a hostile environment.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 |


PSV must get a result here if they want to qualify because they have Bayern last game. Couple that with the fact that Newcastle are 1/3 favourites and like to sit deep defending leads and invite pressure. Newcastle have allowed an average of 11.43 shots per game at home this season in the league and UCL. PSV average 13.23 shots away from home this season and hit 11 away at Feyenoord, 9 at Liverpool despite leading for most of the second half. I think taking 10+ and 13+ shots here looks like a good angle. If you don't have access to team shots then +1.5 Asian Handicap is an OK alternative.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/11 |


PSV must get a result here if they want to qualify because they have Bayern last game. Couple that with the fact that Newcastle are 1/3 favourites and like to sit deep defending leads and invite pressure. Newcastle have allowed an average of 11.43 shots per game at home this season in the league and UCL. PSV average 13.23 shots away from home this season and hit 11 away at Feyenoord, 9 at Liverpool despite leading for most of the second half. I think taking 10+ and 13+ shots here looks like a good angle. If you don't have access to team shots then +1.5 Asian Handicap is an OK alternative.
| Bookie | Odds | Bet | Sign Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 |

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